Tightening supplies in mature-node consumer DRAM are driving up contract prices for older memory generations like DDR2 and DDR3. Market research firm TrendForce reports that DDR2 contract prices will rise by 55% to 60% in 2Q26. The legacy memory standard is expected to climb an additional 35% to 40% in 3Q26 as buyers scramble to secure allocations.
The shortage occurs as the three major DRAM manufacturers prioritize advanced-node production to supply high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and server DRAM for artificial intelligence infrastructure. This shift has reduced the wafer capacity allocated for mature-node consumer DRAM like DDR4. As a result, hardware manufacturers are turning to Taiwanese suppliers like Nanya and Winbond, giving those vendors substantial pricing power.

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Supply of DDR2 will likely tighten further as Winbond reallocates its manufacturing capacity toward higher-margin products like DDR3 and DDR4. In response, competitor ESMT plans to expand its DDR2 output using its existing wafer allocation at foundry partner PSMC. This output increase aims to offset the supply gap left by Winbond’s partial exit and capture more of the market.
Source: TrendForce



